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Trade 68, The Bleak Prospects,Taking a View

Trade 68, The Bleak Prospects,Taking a View

  The Bleak Picture…………(actually it’s 2010) The bigger picture? Well, we are talking about options Trade 68, I jest about the snow. Resistance for FTSE? 7450. And support? 7100– in my view. VIX is still a bit spicy, VFTSE not so much-what do we make of this? Not a great time to buy or sell, but as always we […]

Trade 67- Where To Now, Sherlock?

Trade 67- Where To Now, Sherlock?

Reading The Signs, Finding the Trade Here’s a naked chart of FTSE. So what can we read into it? But before that- are there are skeptics out there who dislike charts? I railed against their use for years as I’m not good with visuals, and prefer numbers. To say I failed at art at school […]

Trade 66 The Return of Crazy Vol or Realistic Pricing

Trade 66 The Return of Crazy Vol or Realistic Pricing

   The Greeks and the Chain Here’s the ‘skinny’ and a trade for the bullish,the bearish,the don’t knows(me). We are  buyers of the 6400 put and sellers of twice as many 6200 puts. We are thus rewarded with a credit of 20. You need to know firstly, where’s the risk? FTSE falls below 6000 in March. […]

Trade 65 Sell The Farm!

Trade 65 Sell The Farm!

Technical Analysis- Does It Work-and Trade 65 I  annotated the above chart,to show the signals that for my set up, indicated a drop. Of course I ignored the chart, signals that clear don’t work, do they? And now? Clear as mud, and overbought conditions did remain for months. I believe we have a new market […]

Trade 64 Double Trouble Theta Creator

Trade 64 Double Trouble Theta Creator

Trade 64 A Bit of a Frankenstein. Our offering this week  is the sale of 2 near month puts while buying a wide put spread in the next month. A ratio calendar, with an extra short put. Here Come The Greeks- The Two We are Focussed On, Delta & Theta 7350/7150 Mar put spread 35-18= 17. We […]

Trade 63- Paying up When the Market Dictates

Trade 63- Paying up When the Market Dictates

Let’s Jump Straight In With Trade 63 Without too much ceremony it’s been a grim year for traders. A great year for passive investors. FTSE up nearly 7%,with barely a bump in the road. The number of 1% down days was the lowest since 1379 (kidding!). It was stupid low. So how are we to […]

Update to Trades 61 & 62 We are NOT Losers!

Update to Trades 61 & 62 We are NOT Losers!

Big Apology To the Faithful Followers There has been a lot of illness recently and absence from the UK. Our aim was always to show  weekly trades. One huge lesson learned many years ago- never trade while you are ill. So we do say sorry and we’ll keep taking the medicine, and aim to bring more […]

Trade 62 Low Cost Low Probability, But..........

Trade 62 Low Cost Low Probability, But……….

Playing Not To Lose I read a book some years ago with the above title. No! NOT Trade 62! It interests me that this remit of not losing should be such a common method.Winning requires greater risk than not losing. We know there are times, however, when the trade risk does not make sense. When […]

Trade 61 Christmas Looms

Trade 61 Christmas Looms

A Final Stab At 2017’s Awful Market-Trade? What Trade? Awful? Yes this has not been a trader’s market-it’s been a buy fest- with more cash from cheap credit. I think nobody cares about the bill, what could go wrong? Are we scratching around for a trade?  Recession in 2018? We are no longer  talking about […]

Trade 60 A Double Dilemma For Expiry

Trade 60 A Double Dilemma For Expiry

Are Stockmarket Moves Secular Events? -Trade 60 Looks To Capture Profits Expiry week is upon us once again. The 3rd Friday of the month is when we find out who’s swimming(selling premium) naked! Premium sellers can be panicked as their positions go underwater. Perhaps there is a malevolent force at work here. We like to […]