464 W/e01May That’ Special’ Relationship

That Was The Week FTSE Found Support, The King Charmed the US

We say “Good job your majesty’. Our monarch managed to get the message across about what is right. He also managed to avoid the traditional faux pas so many have committed with that present company. We seem to have a safe pair of hands in him. I doubt many of us could navigate such murky waters. While it’s better to have the US onside, the cost in the bigger picture must never be so unacceptably high as to lower standards. Respect is a rare commodity in today’s US. We are different.

Interest rates, held as expected at 3.75%. Bank of England love to be Captain Obvious. Inflation is on the way, and it is a mere 65% above the upper limit, currently. Energy is everything and some of us remember the oil crisis in the 70s. Oil prices trebled. This time it’s different though, as the US is self sufficient in oil. Technically. Not all oil is born equal and some requires different treatment for other applications. I recall it also went negative not that long ago. It’s a confusing world, thank goodness for options.

In The Inbox

https://masterinvestor.co.uk/?utm_source=Investor+Audience&utm_campaign=9bf3c6f3be-Survey_Invitation_TH_20180320_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_bc664be0ba-9bf3c6f3be-48657581&mc_cid=9bf3c6f3be&mc_eid=d8dfffc5d3

Hopefully the excellent presentations will be available on Youtube. We do these things well in the UK

This from the ICE.com https://ir.theice.com/press/news-details/2026/Intercontinental-Exchange-Reports-Record-First-Quarter-2026/default.aspx

Quite how the UK has not kept up with the US options market is maybe because of gambling laws allowing the spread betters to offer an alternative. However we do not know the volume traded. They are of course offering mini options on heavily traded UK stocks https://www.ice.com/products/Futures-Options/Equity-Derivatives/Mini-Single-Stocks

 

Distraction Trades

ADA  was    $0.2526 now $0.2480

XRP  was    $1.4284 now $1.3856    Nothing to get concerned about. I like this source https://coinmarketcap.com

 DAX :  1 loser 3 no entries Nett -40  I have my suspicions the system is out of wack with current conditions

UK Gilts Were   £15.56 now£15.52    This is based on the Vanguard ETF. Not the cheeriest outlook, yields in the short term may be worth a look, apparently.

Silver: Using Wisdom Tree Physical Silver(PHAG)  I had another go at $64.10  now it’s $69.22 I closed out and made £9!  Good call, I hear you say! Always take a profit.

Legacy Trades  New Trade 463 A Tenfor

Trade 424 High Roller, This is a Trade Gone Wrong

PRECIS: We started from a July 2025  losing trade as below. Short calls are rarely a good idea.This is a ratio spread 8450/8650 calls

In summary  we have an old trade from July 2025 which is a loss of 1741 against the credits taken in, of 422 

Now 1539  big yawn but that’s the point. This  will run until it’s no longer in a loss.

1912, 1712.5(x2) gives us 1513 

Trade 462 Calendar or Something Else?

What if we could buy a cheap Put spread and make something happen with that? We could use the one we own from Trade 461 This may be nuts but…. we SELL a June 10100 put for 80, giving us risk at 10,000. This exploits something we may not have done before, but we have a month’s protection at 10400 giving a full 100 so if things get spicy(and I really hope they will) there will be some interesting possibilities. We learn by doing and if we don’t break stuff we’re not trying hard enough!

 

 

https://optioncreator.com/stvdj8f

Have fun with this,I’m  not even sure if this strategy has a name but the chances of profit look good, and theta is our friend. Remember if the market does drop to 10400, we will collect 100 from the long spread with which we can buy some excellent protection or close out.

I say again  this is a curious journey but now the long Put spread is 217, 166.5= 50.5  and the June put is 146.  DON’T PANIC!

Now the spread is 195/135=60 the June Put, however is 124.5. In hindsight this may get ugly. Did I say that already?

Trade 463 A ‘Fly, Just to Play Safe

I note we have only 19 days to expiry what’s to do? Let’s go for a 10-1 Moonshot. We are going squeaky clean with a Butterfly.

We buy the 10300 put for 127.5. Then,  sell 2 of the 10150 puts 85.5.  Our lower wing of the ‘fly is the 10000 put at 58.5. So this gives us 127.5+58.5 -(85.5×2)= 15

The ten to one is the fact that we are buying for 15 and the max is the difference between the upper and mid strikes which is of course 150. This is bulletproof as we can only lose our 15 premium. But, we’re certainly in the ball park to get something of a return. I want to err on the side of caution. I think for too long the market has ignored the crazy in the US.

Now: 92.5, 51×2, 28.5 gives us 18.5 . Now that, is a comedic 23% profit

Trade 464 Pulling in Modest Profits

So, 13 days to expiry. This is big theta country and with so much crazy right now we go with a very wide strangle. Boring and picking up pennies in front of a steamroller. We should, in our portfolio have a diverse mix and this thing looks Delta neutralish. That is making it non-directional. We sell both the 10750 call for 11 and the 9700 put for 10.5. Call me a simpleton as this lacks complexity, and I agree. However there are times when we need a ‘banker’. There’s a huge 1,000+ point range so it’s a low reward trade.

 Glossary:

There are two types of options: Puts, give you the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset . Calls give you the right, but not the obligation to buy the underlying asset.

When you sell those options, the opposite happens, with puts you get stock ‘put‘ to you at an unfavourable price (or not) and calls you get the stock you own taken, or ‘called’ away. If you don’t own the stock you need to stump up the cash, but in both cases with the FTSE index they are cash settled at £10 a point, so losses and gains are uncomplicated.

Please read the links below for a more comprehensive explanation in simple terms. Options are about mindset, only a modicum of intelligence required.

 

For those new to options: 

https://optionsinvesting.co.uk/special-edition-how-options-work-1/

https://optionsinvesting.co.uk/special-edition-how-options-work-2/

https://optionsinvesting.co.uk/how-options-work-page-3/

Contact: surreyhantstraders@gmail.com.

If there is anything you’d like help with, we all started somewhere and yes, it can be baffling. There are no stupid questions, give it a whirl. (AI gets things wrong, remember) 

All opinions expressed here are not to be taken too seriously and all of the trades are for educational purposes only.

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