RSSAll Entries in the "Weekly Trade Idea" Category

Trade 65 Sell The Farm!

Trade 65 Sell The Farm!

Technical Analysis- Does It Work-and Trade 65 I  annotated the above chart,to show the signals that for my set up, indicated a drop. Of course I ignored the chart, signals that clear don’t work, do they? And now? Clear as mud, and overbought conditions did remain for months. I believe we have a new market […]

Trade 64 Double Trouble Theta Creator

Trade 64 Double Trouble Theta Creator

Trade 64 A Bit of a Frankenstein. Our offering this week  is the sale of 2 near month puts while buying a wide put spread in the next month. A ratio calendar, with an extra short put. Here Come The Greeks- The Two We are Focussed On, Delta & Theta 7350/7150 Mar put spread 35-18= 17. We […]

Trade 63- Paying up When the Market Dictates

Trade 63- Paying up When the Market Dictates

Let’s Jump Straight In With Trade 63 Without too much ceremony it’s been a grim year for traders. A great year for passive investors. FTSE up nearly 7%,with barely a bump in the road. The number of 1% down days was the lowest since 1379 (kidding!). It was stupid low. So how are we to […]

Update to Trades 61 & 62 We are NOT Losers!

Update to Trades 61 & 62 We are NOT Losers!

Big Apology To the Faithful Followers There has been a lot of illness recently and absence from the UK. Our aim was always to show  weekly trades. One huge lesson learned many years ago- never trade while you are ill. So we do say sorry and we’ll keep taking the medicine, and aim to bring more […]

Trade 62 Low Cost Low Probability, But..........

Trade 62 Low Cost Low Probability, But……….

Playing Not To Lose I read a book some years ago with the above title. No! NOT Trade 62! It interests me that this remit of not losing should be such a common method.Winning requires greater risk than not losing. We know there are times, however, when the trade risk does not make sense. When […]

Trade 61 Christmas Looms

Trade 61 Christmas Looms

A Final Stab At 2017’s Awful Market-Trade? What Trade? Awful? Yes this has not been a trader’s market-it’s been a buy fest- with more cash from cheap credit. I think nobody cares about the bill, what could go wrong? Are we scratching around for a trade?  Recession in 2018? We are no longer  talking about […]

Trade 60 A Double Dilemma For Expiry

Trade 60 A Double Dilemma For Expiry

Are Stockmarket Moves Secular Events? -Trade 60 Looks To Capture Profits Expiry week is upon us once again. The 3rd Friday of the month is when we find out who’s swimming(selling premium) naked! Premium sellers can be panicked as their positions go underwater. Perhaps there is a malevolent force at work here. We like to […]

Trade 59 Low Volatility, But A Blip Up  On Friday- There's Hope...

Trade 59 Low Volatility, But A Blip Up On Friday- There’s Hope…

What is going on? As the FTSE versus £  chart shows there is little correlation with the £ and the FTSE. We have been in a 500 point range all year,with support at 7100 and resistance at 7600. Now that 7600 is one stubborn beast-multiple attempts at it but no further advance. What can this mean? Who […]

Trade 58 Time and Relative Value

Trade 58 Time and Relative Value

How The Trade  Looks:  Courtesy of OptionCreator © 2015–2017 Why The Graphic First? As options traders we  always always look at where the trade risk is. Reward is an unknown. Many traders talk about risk/reward on the assumption they will win trades. Statistically it is highly likely that anyone trading directionally will have a run […]

Trade 57 Avoiding Losses, Exits Mean......... Everything

Trade 57 Avoiding Losses, Exits Mean……… Everything

Cutting To The Chase It’s a ratio calendar strangle and it looks like this: Trade 57  Nuts and Bolts-Let’s Speak Greeks The best offer and it’s not flippin’ Black Friday! We have done the maths and while the graph looks pretty darn good….. How’s things in the back office? Delta: 0.111 against, Gamma: 28 against, […]